US officials report that Iran still holds substantial military capabilities despite ongoing US and Israeli strikes. The ...

Disrupted Iranian oil supplies to China are putting pressure on global oil markets. WTI Crude Oil prices for April 2026 trade ...

New Zealand's Treasury warns of 7.4% inflation by 2025-26 if the Iran war continues. Fed rate hold in July at 81.5% YES.

The White House announced an extension of the Iran ceasefire by three to five days, pushing odds of a ceasefire extension by ...

Japan’s manufacturing PMI climbed to 54.9 in April from 51.6 in March, a move that bears on the Bank of Japan’s rate decision ...

Fed Chair Powell announced rate cuts delayed to late 2026 due to inflation risks from the Iran conflict. Rate cut by April ...

BlackRock’s recent acquisition of over $900 million in Bitcoin pushes its holdings to 806,700 BTC, overtaking MicroStrategy.

Explosions in Tehran were confirmed as part of a drill, not an attack. Iran striking Israel by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.

SpaceX's acquisition of Cursor faces regulatory scrutiny, impacting IPO timelines; IPO by June 30, 2026 at 70.5% YES.

Israel's attack kills a Lebanese journalist amid stalled Tehran-US talks. Permanent peace deal by April 30 at 3% YES.

Schwab launches Bitcoin and Ethereum trading with a 0.75% fee. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026 at 5% YES.

Brent crude has surged past $120 per barrel following the Strait of Hormuz closure, but the Polymarket contract for WTI Crude ...